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13:28 Next time hryvnia collapse in 2012 |
 The State should refuse repayment of domestic debt, external debt, or will go on maintenance, fold reduction of the hryvnia exchange rate. About it, writes, " Ukrainian banking portal , "said ex-Minister of Economy of Ukraine Lanovyi.
According to him, government finance and monetary unit of Ukraine lacked adequate resources become available. "For the hryvnia resource is foreign exchange, and for the public finances are a resource for taxes and other payments to the budget", - said V. Lanovoy. He noted that the current situation looks like that "the government spends considerably more money through the budget."
"This year we have taken loans of 90 billion hryvnia for 9 months, and we know that in the tenth month the government took another loan of 6 billion for Naftogaz. By the way, out of the crisis associated with increased consumption of people in our reality provided by the growth in imports. That is, such insecurity costs the state income and resources can also be seen growing. Foreign exchange income from exports also lag behind the needs of imports and the government smooths out these distortions due to international and domestic loans , "- said the ex-minister .
According to V. Lanovoy all the time to live in debt and ensure that the budget only in debt - it is only a temporary stability. "But further, after a while, we can see that you can not live in debt. 2012 I think critical in this matter, because in 2011 there is the currency of the International Monetary Fund. There will be approximately 10 billion hryvnia, which will cover the deficit. But this artificial maintenance of the course will lead to the fact that next year it will fall to a much greater extent than now, when he (kurs. - Ed.) would gradually depreciate in line with trends in monetary and balance of payments ", - said the doctor of economic sciences.
"The severity of two years depending on where they want to take new loans, it firstly, and secondly - from any obligations the state would refuse. That is, the state should refuse to repay domestic debt, external debt, or else go to technical, fold reduction in rate, as it was in 2008. And it will lead to the failure of wages and salaries of citizens ", - said V. Lanovoy.
Authorities and the government will act, as will be defined in terms of the minimum political loss, he concluded.
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